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Peer Reviewed

Seasonal-to-interannual prediction of North American coastal marine ecosystems: Forecast methods, mechanisms of predictability, and priority developments

Jacox, M. G., Alexander, M. A., Siedlecki, S., Chen, K., Kwon, Y.-O., Brodie, S., … Rykaczewski, R., Seasonal-to-interannual prediction of North American coastal marine ecosystems: Forecast methods, mechanisms of predictability, and priority developments, Progress in Oceanography, 183, 102307, doi: 10.1016/j.pocean.2020.102307, 2020.

The Importance of Environmental Exposure History in Forecasting Dungeness Crab Megalopae, Occurrence Using J-SCOPE, a High-Resolution Model for the US Pacific Northwest

Norton, E., Siedlecki, S.A., Kaplan, I.C., Hermann, A.J., Fisher, J., Morgan, C., Officer, S., Saenger, C., Alin, S.A., Newton, J., Bednarsek, N., and R.A. Feely, The Importance of Environmental Exposure History in Forecasting Dungeness Crab Megalopae, Occurrence Using J-SCOPE, a High-Resolution Model for the US Pacific Northwest, Frontiers in Marine Science, 7, 102, doi: 10.3389/fmars.2020.00102, 2020.

Exoskeleton dissolution with mechanoreceptor damage in larval Dungeness crab related to severity of present-day ocean acidification vertical gradients

Bednaršek, N., Feely, R. A., Beck, M. W., Alin, S. R., Siedlecki, S. A., Calosi, P., … Spicer, J. I., Exoskeleton dissolution with mechanoreceptor damage in larval Dungeness crab related to severity of present-day ocean acidification vertical gradients, Science of The Total Environment, 716, 136610, doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.136610, 2020.

Observational Needs Supporting Marine Ecosystems Modeling and Forecasting: From the Global Ocean to Regional and Coastal Systems

Capotondi, A., Jacox, M., Bowler, C., Kavanaugh, M., Lehodey, P., Barrie, D., Brodie, S., Chaffron, S., Cheng, W., Faggiani Dias, D., Eveillard, D., Guidi, L., Iudicone, D., Lovenduski, N., Nye, J.A., Ortiz, I., Pirhalla, D.E., Pozo Buil, M., Saba, V., Sheridan, S.C., Siedlecki, S.A., Subramanian, A., De Vargas, C., Di Lorenzo, E., Doney, S.C., Hermann, A.J., Joyce, T., Merrifield, M., Miller, A.J., Not, F., & S. Pesant, Observational Needs Supporting Marine Ecosystems Modeling and Forecasting: From the Global Ocean to Regional and Coastal Systems, Frontiers in Marine Science, doi: 10.3389/fmars.2019.00623, 2019.

Ethical considerations and unanticipated consequences associated with ecological forecasting for marine resources

Alistair J Hobday, Jason R Hartog, John P Manderson, Katherine E Mills, Matthew J Oliver, Andrew J Pershing, Samantha Siedlecki, Handling editor: Howard Browman, Ethical considerations and unanticipated consequences associated with ecological forecasting for marine resources, ICES Journal of Marine Science, doi: 10.1093/icesjms/fsy210, 2019.

Exposure history determines pteropod vulnerability to ocean acidification along the US West Coast

Bednaršek, N., R.A. Feely, N. Tolimieri, A.J. Hermann, S.A. Siedlecki, H.O. Pörtner, G.G. Waldbusser, P. McElhany, S.R. Alin, and J. Menkel, Exposure history determines pteropod vulnerability to ocean acidification along the US West Coast, Scientific Reports 7, Article number: 4526, doi:10.1038/s41598-017-03934-z, 2017.

Managing living marine resources in a dynamic environment: The role of seasonal to decadal climate forecasts

Tommasi, D., Stock, C., Hobday, A., Methot, R., Kaplan, I., Eveson, P., Holsman, K., Miller, T., Gaichas, S., Gehlen, M., Pershing, A., Vecchi, G., Msadek, R., Delworth, T., Eakin, M., Haltuch, M., Sefarian, R., Spillman, C., Hartog, J., Siedlecki, S.,Samhouri, J., Muhling, B., Asch, R., Pinsky, M., Saba, V., Kapnick, S., Gaitan, C., Rykaczewski, R., Alexander, M., Xue, Y., Pegion, K., Lynch, P., Payne, M., Kristiansen, T., Lehodey, P., and C. Werner, Managing living marine resources in a dynamic environment: The role of seasonal to decadal climate forecasts, Progress in Oceanography, Volume 152, March 2017, Pages 15-49, ISSN 0079-6611, doi: 10.1016/j.pocean.2016.12.011.

Experiments with Seasonal Forecasts of ocean conditions for the Northern region of the California Current upwelling system,

Siedlecki, S.A., Kaplan, I.C., Hermann, A., Nguyen, T., Bond, N., Williams, G., Newton, J., Peterson, W. T., Alin, S., and R.A. Feely, Experiments with Seasonal Forecasts of ocean conditions for the Northern region of the California Current upwelling system, Nature: Scientific Reports 6, doi:10.1038/srep27203, 2016.

Cloudy with a chance of sardines: forecasting sardine distributions using regional climate models

Kaplan, I, Williams, G, Bond, N, Hermann, A, and Siedlecki, Cloudy with a chance of sardines: forecasting sardine distributions using regional climate models, Fisheries Oceanography 25:1, 15-27, doi: 10.1111/fog.12131, 2016.

Reports

Ecosystem Status Report of the California Current for 2019: A Summary of Ecosystem Indicators Compiled by the California Current Integrated Ecosystem Assessment Team (CCEIA)

Harvey, C., N. Garfield, G. Williams, N. Tolimieri, I. Schroeder, K. Andrews, K. Barnas, E. Bjorkstedt, S. Bograd, R. Brodeur, B. Burke, J. Cope, A. Coyne, L. deWitt, J. Dowell, J. Field, J. Fisher, P. Frey, T. Good, C. Greene, E. Hazen, D. Holland, M. Hunter, K. Jacobson, M. Jacox, C. Juhasz, I. Kaplan, S. Kasperski, D. Lawson, A. Leising, A. Manderson, S. Melin, S. Moore, C. Morgan, B. Muhling, S. Munsch, K. Norman, R. Robertson, L. Rogers-Bennett, K. Sakuma, J. Samhouri, R. Selden, S. Siedlecki, K. Somers, W. Sydeman, A. Thompson, J. Thorson, D. Tommasi, V. Trainer, A. Varney, B. Wells, C. Whitmire, M. Williams, T. Williams, J. Zamon, and S. Zeman, Ecosystem Status Report of the California Current for 2019: A Summary of Ecosystem Indicators Compiled by the California Current Integrated Ecosystem Assessment Team (CCEIA), U.S. Department of Commerce, NOAA Technical Memorandum NMFS-NWFSC-149, doi: 10.25923/p0ed-ke21, 2019.