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Forecast Origin Dates

J-SCOPE forecast results for the simulation beginning in April of 2014 are shown in the right panels. Each panel represents a monthly average for the region. The regional climatology from Venegas et al, 2008 is provided on the left for reference, although it covers a slightly larger area than the modeled domain. The forecast projects that the Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs) will be lower than the climatology for the region in May and June of 2014. The forecast projects that the SSTs will be equivalent to the climatology for the months of July - August of 2014. September and October are on the outer edge of confidence with this system (see 2013, Year in Review), but is predicted to be lower than climatology.