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Year in Review

SST was biased high throughout the summer for the 2015 April forecast compared to the observations at the OCNMS Cape Elizabeth mooring; in August the forecast was approximately 8 deg C too warm. The January forecast was ~2-3 deg C warmer than the observations in July and August, but forecasted the SST very well in July. Forecasted bottom temperatures were also biased warm by 1-2 deg C at the same mooring.

Sea surface temperature forecasts (top) and bottom temperature forecasts (bottom) compared to the Cape Elizabeth 42m station observations. from the OCNMS on the Washington shelf. The modeled fields (January forecast - teal, April forecast - darker blue) were extracted from the model from the same location as the observations (red).